{"id":673,"date":"2021-11-13T11:46:59","date_gmt":"2021-11-13T03:46:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/110.40.185.35\/docs\/?p=673"},"modified":"2024-10-26T17:59:03","modified_gmt":"2024-10-26T09:59:03","slug":"sarima_ui","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.khsci.com\/docs\/index.php\/2021\/11\/13\/sarima_ui\/","title":{"rendered":"SARIMA\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u56fe\u5f62\u754c\u9762\u7248\u8f6f\u4ef6\uff08\u5b8c\u6574\u7248\uff09"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote\">\n<p><strong>\u56fe\u5f62\u754c\u9762\u7248SARIMA\u662f\u4e13\u4e3a\u4f7f\u7528SARIMA\u65b9\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u8f6f\u4ef6\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u8f6f\u4ef6\u529f\u80fd\u5728\u4e0d\u5b9a\u671f\u66f4\u65b0\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e0d\u65ad\u5b8c\u5584\u548c\u6dfb\u52a0\u65b0\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0\u4f18\u8d28\u3001\u6613\u7528\u7684\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5feb\u901f\u5b9e\u73b0\u76ee\u6807<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n         <style>\r\n             #player69ed86ec01c80.h5vp_player { widthborder-radius overflow: hidden; }        <\/style>\r\n        <div id=\"h5vp_player\">\r\n            <div id=\"player69ed86ec01c80\" class=\"h5vp_player h5vp_player_initializer\" data-settings=\"{&quot;options&quot;:{&quot;controls&quot;:[&quot;play-large&quot;,&quot;rewind&quot;,&quot;play&quot;,&quot;fast-forward&quot;,&quot;progress&quot;,&quot;current-time&quot;,&quot;mute&quot;,&quot;volume&quot;,&quot;settings&quot;,&quot;fullscreen&quot;],&quot;loop&quot;:{&quot;active&quot;:false},&quot;muted&quot;:false,&quot;hideControls&quot;:true,&quot;autoplay&quot;:false,&quot;tooltips&quot;:{&quot;controls&quot;:true,&quot;seek&quot;:true},&quot;resetOnEnd&quot;:true,&quot;captions&quot;:{&quot;active&quot;:true,&quot;update&quot;:true}},&quot;infos&quot;:{&quot;source&quot;:&quot;https:\\\/\\\/khscience.vip:555\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2023\\\/08\\\/sarima_ui\\u5b8c\\u6574\\u7248_x264.mp4&quot;,&quot;poster&quot;:false,&quot;id&quot;:0}}\">\r\n                <video controls playsinline poster=\"\"  >\r\n                    <source src=\"https:\/\/khscience.vip:555\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/sarima_ui\u5b8c\u6574\u7248_x264.mp4\" type=\"video\/mp4\">\r\n                    Your browser does not support the video tag.\r\n                <\/video>\r\n            <\/div>\r\n        <\/div>\r\n        \n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-container-1 wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button has-custom-width wp-block-button__width-100 has-custom-font-size is-style-outline has-small-font-size\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bilibili.com\/video\/BV17f1WYDEqt\/?spm_id_from=333.999.0.0&amp;vd_source=5e65959f8a047340cb194f5cc1d54eb4\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u89c6\u9891\u5907\u7528\u5730\u5740<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e00\u3001\u83b7\u53d6\u56fe\u5f62\u754c\u9762\u7248SARIMA\u8f6f\u4ef6\uff08\u5b8c\u6574\u7248\uff09<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">\u8be5\u8f6f\u4ef6\u7684\u83b7\u53d6\u8fde\u63a5\u4e3a\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/item.taobao.com\/item.htm?spm=a1z10.5-c-s.w4002-24055037831.13.22f31a9fMrqkB0&amp;id=692850419652\">\u56fe\u5f62\u754c\u9762\u7248SARIMA\u8f6f\u4ef6\u5b8c\u6574\u7248<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e8c\u3001\u4ee3\u7801\u8fd0\u884c\u73af\u5883<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">MATLAB2019~2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u4e09\u3001\u8f6f\u4ef6\u529f\u80fd\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>1.\u8f6f\u4ef6\u4e3b\u754c\u9762<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1157\" height=\"687\" src=\"https:\/\/khsci.com\/docs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/img_618f424d23f6b.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-688\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>2.\u652f\u6301\u591a\u79cd\u683c\u5f0f\u6570\u636e\u5bfc\u5165\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">\u652f\u6301mat\u3001xsl\u3001xslx\u683c\u5f0f\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5bfc\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>\u5982\u679c\u662fmat\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u6587\u4ef6\u4e2d\u53ea\u5305\u542b\u5355\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4e14\u4e3a\u4e00\u7ef4\u6570\u636e\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5982\u679c\u662fxsl\/xslx\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u8981\u6c42\u6570\u636e\u4e3a\u5355\u884c\/\u5355\u5217\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u5305\u542b\u6807\u9898\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>3.\u591a\u79cd\u53c2\u6570\u8bbe\u7f6e\u9009\u9879\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>\uff081\uff09p\u503c\u4e0a\u9650\u3001q\u503c\u4e0a\u9650\u3001P\u4e0a\u9650\u503c\u3001Q\u4e0a\u9650\u503c\uff1a<\/strong>\u5373\u4f7f\u7528aic\/bic\u51c6\u5219\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9a\u9636\u65f6\uff0cp\u3001q\u3001P\u3001Q\u503c\u7684\u904d\u5386\u4e0a\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>\uff082\uff09p\/q\/P\/Q\u503c\u5b9a\u9636\u51c6\u5219\uff1a<\/strong>\u5305\u62ec&#8217;aic&#8217;\/&#8217;bic&#8217;\/&#8217;aic+bic&#8217;\u4e09\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u9009\u53d6\u4e0d\u540c\u51c6\u5219\uff0c\u5b9a\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u9636\u6570\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>\uff083\uff09\u6bcf\u5468\u671f\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u6570\uff1a<\/strong>\u5373\u5bfc\u5165\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5468\u671f\u7684\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>\uff084\uff09\u7ed8\u5236\u62df\u5408\u66f2\u7ebf\uff1a<\/strong>\u5982\u52fe\u9009\u4e0a\uff0c\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u5f00\u59cb\u8bad\u7ec3\u201d\u540e\u4e3b\u754c\u9762\u7684\u7ed8\u56fe\u533a\u57df\u5c06\u4f1a\u7ed8\u5236\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u6570\u636e\u7684\u62df\u5408\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u9ed8\u8ba4\u4e0d\u52fe\u9009\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>\uff085\uff09\u7ed8\u5236\u5176\u4ed6\u66f2\u7ebf\u56fe\uff08ACF\u3001PACF\u3001\u6b8b\u5dee\u68c0\u9a8c\u7b49\uff09\uff1a<\/strong>\u5982\u52fe\u9009\u4e0a\uff0c\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u5f00\u59cb\u8bad\u7ec3\u201d\u540e\u5c06\u4f1a\u7ed8\u5236\u5176\u4f59\u82e5\u5e72\u56fe\u7247\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fe\u7247\u7684\u542b\u4e49<a href=\"https:\/\/zhuanlan.zhihu.com\/p\/117595003\">\u53c2\u8003\u8fd9\u91cc<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>4.\u4e24\u79cd\u8bad\u7ec3\u4e0e\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>\uff081\uff09\u5168\u90e8\u6570\u636e\u7528\u4e8e\u591a\u6b65\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a<\/strong>\u9884\u6d4b\u201c\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u201d\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002\u5728\u8f6f\u4ef6\u4e2d\u6307\u5b9a\u60f3\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u957f\u5ea6\uff0c\u70b9\u51fb\u5f00\u59cb\u8bad\u7ec3\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e86\u3002\u6548\u679c\u5982\u4e0b\uff08\u81ea\u5e26\u6848\u4f8b\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1157\" height=\"687\" src=\"https:\/\/khsci.com\/docs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/img_618f47cdb178f.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-691\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>\uff082\uff09\u5212\u5206\u201c\u8bad\u7ec3-\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u201d\u7684\u591a\u6b65\u9884\u6d4b\uff1a<\/strong>\u5c06\u5168\u90e8\u6570\u636e\u6309\u7167\u4e00\u5b9a\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5212\u5206\u6210\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u548c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\uff0c\u7136\u540e<strong>\u591a\u6b65<\/strong>\u9884\u6d4b\u51fa\u4e8e\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u76f8\u540c\u957f\u5ea6\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5e76\u753b\u56fe\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u82e5\u5e72\u8bc4\u4f30\u6307\u6807\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6a21\u5f0f\u4e0b\u7ed3\u679c\u5f80\u5f80\u5e76\u4e0d\u592a\u7406\u60f3\u3002\u6548\u679c\u5982\u4e0b\uff08\u81ea\u5e26\u6848\u4f8b\uff09\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1157\" height=\"687\" src=\"https:\/\/khsci.com\/docs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/img_618f482236c25.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-692\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>5.\u6570\u636e\u5bfc\u51fa\uff08\u9700\u8981\u4f7f\u7528\u5b8c\u6574\u7248\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff09\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">\u70b9\u51fb\u201c\u5bfc\u51fa\u6570\u636e\u201d\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul>\n<li>\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u3001\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u6570\u636e\u3001\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u6570\u636e\u3001\u6b8b\u5dee\u3001\u62df\u5408\u503c\u7b49\u5bfc\u51fa\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u53ef\u4ee5\u81ea\u5b9a\u4e49\u4fdd\u5b58\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4fdd\u5b58\u683c\u5f0f\u4e3aExcel<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56db\u3001\u6e90\u7801\u4ecb\u7ecd<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"209\" height=\"144\" src=\"https:\/\/khsci.com\/docs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/img_618f4b3b1c6f7.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-699\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">\u6ce8\uff1a<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/khsci.com\/docs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/d2f64ad140f71d4582ec56dfb0893b44.png\">\u56fe\u6807\u4ee3\u8868\u8be5m\u6587\u4ef6\u4e3a\u811a\u672c\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u8fd0\u884c\uff1b<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/khsci.com\/docs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/5823613e4f686c23a078445e25e3e8eb.png\">\u56fe\u6807\u4ee3\u8868\u51fd\u6570\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u8f93\u5165\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u8fd0\u884c\u3002\u66f4\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b<a href=\"https:\/\/ww2.mathworks.cn\/help\/matlab\/learn_matlab\/scripts-and-functions.html\">\u8fd9\u91cc<\/a>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>1.SARIMA_UI.mlapp\u6587\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">\u56fe\u5f62\u754c\u9762\u4e3b\u7a0b\u5e8f\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5728MATLAB\u7684APPdesigner\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>2.Demo_ARIMA.m\u6587\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">\u8c03\u7528funs\u4e2d\u7684Fun_ARIMA_Forecast\u51fd\u6570\u8fdb\u884c<strong>\u591a\u6b65\u9884\u6d4b<\/strong>\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u6f14\u793a\u4e86Fun_SARIMA_Forecast\u51fd\u6570\u7684\u5e38\u89c4\u7528\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>3.function\u6587\u4ef6<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">function\u6587\u4ef6\u4e3a\u8be5\u5de5\u5177\u7bb1\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u51fd\u6570\u6587\u4ef6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6587\u4ef6\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u8fd0\u884c\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u6587\u4ef6\u6216\u547d\u4ee4\u884c\u7a97\u53e3\u4e2d\u5bf9\u5165\u53e3\u53c2\u6570\u8d4b\u503c\u5e76\u8c03\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>2.1.SARMA_Order_Select.m<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; \u901a\u8fc7AIC\uff0cBIC\u7b49\u51c6\u5219\u66b4\u529b\u9009\u5b9a\u9636\u6570\uff0c\u5e26\u6709\u5dee\u5206\u9879\u3002\u51fd\u6570\u53c2\u6570\u8bf4\u660e\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/khsci.com\/docs\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/cdcca4d3f5d3d51e37d1b064d36f8b48.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\"><strong>2.2.Fun_SARIMA_Forecast.m<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-iw-2em\">&nbsp; &nbsp; 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